What went wrong and what went right with our latest prediction?

Sep 15, 16

Posted by Vuk Vuković in Election forecasting, Featured

The results of the Croatian election came as a surprise to many. All the pollsters (in total only 4, in addition to our BASON survey) gave the SDP-led coalition an advantage from 3 to 7 seats over HDZ. In fact, the election result for the first two parties was the exact opposite of what the polls were saying – it was SDP that...