Third party options

Jan 04, 16 Third party options

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

The most surprising result of the 2015 general election in Croatia was the success of the recently local party MOST, that appeared to have broken the duopoly of the two establishment center-left and center-right parties, the SDP and HDZ. MOST was founded in a small coastal Croatian city to compete in its local elections in 2013....

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The myth of turnout

Dec 28, 15 The myth of turnout

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

As part of our election forecasting project of the 2015 Croatian general election, during the two months of pre-election build up we were required to analyze the four previous electoral cycles and find some underlying trends that could be helpful in our forecasting model, but also to bust some deeply embedded domestic political...

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Election forecasting for the Croatian 2015 general elections

Dec 15, 15 Election forecasting for the Croatian 2015 general elections

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

By Mile Šikić, Dejan Vinković, and Vuk Vuković: As a part of an election coverage project initiated by the biggest daily newspaper in Croatia, Jutarnji list, we were given the opportunity to introduce, for the first time in this part of Europe, a prediction model of general elections which simultaneously uses election polls,...

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