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Posts made in June, 2017
The 2017 UK General Election produced another upset for election forecasters and most pollsters (kudos to YouGov for being the only big gun to predict a hung parliament with their new prediction model!). As we have surveyed in our previous text, a vast majority of the poll-based and model-based forecasters, just like with Brexit...
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We are NOT predicting the 2017 UK general election. Unfortunately. They came too soon given their specifics (one must do polling in a number of toss-up constituencies to make sure to deliver an accurate prediction). But we did keep track of what all other polls were saying. What seemed like a Conservative landslide only last month...
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Last year, before the Brexit referendum, we offered the first unbiased ranking of UK pollsters. This was our effort to vindicate some in the polling business during a time of widespread public anger over their failure to correctly predict the outcome of the 2015 UK general election (despite the fact that making predictions is not...
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