What went wrong and what went right with our latest prediction?

Sep 15, 16 What went wrong and what went right with our latest prediction?

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

The results of the Croatian election came as a surprise to many. All the pollsters (in total only 4, in addition to our BASON survey) gave the SDP-led coalition an advantage from 3 to 7 seats over HDZ. In fact, the election result for the first two parties was the exact opposite of what the polls were saying – it was SDP that...

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Final prediction of the Croatian 2016 general election

Sep 09, 16 Final prediction of the Croatian 2016 general election

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

This week we were focused on predicting the outcome of the forthcoming Croatian general election. We did the same thing last year and were not expecting to do Croatian elections again, at least until the local elections in 2017. However, the new government – formed after almost 2 months of post-election negotiations –...

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