Our method and benchmarks for Brexit referendum

May 25, 16 Our method and benchmarks for Brexit referendum

Posted by in Featured

Our prediction method rests primarily upon our Facebook survey, where we use a variety of Bayesian updating methodologies to filter out internal biases in order to offer the most precise prediction. In essence we ask our participants to express their preference of who they will vote for (e.g. Leave or Remain for the Brexit...

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We will be forecasting the Brexit referendum

May 19, 16 We will be forecasting the Brexit referendum

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

Over the next month and a half, Oraclum I.S. Ltd. will be engaged in forecasting the outcome of the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, colloquially referred to as the ‘Brexit’ referendum. A brief introduction into the political landscape so far. Back in January 2013, in response to mounting pressure from his own...

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