War, unemployment and education: How they affect elections?

Jan 11, 16 War, unemployment and education: How they affect elections?

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

In our election forecasting model we combined election polls, previous electoral results and trends, and, last but not least, a number of socio-economic parameters that we uncovered to be important determinants of voter preferences. In our earlier text we already summarized how we did this and which variables we decided to put in:...

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Third party options

Jan 04, 16 Third party options

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

The most surprising result of the 2015 general election in Croatia was the success of the recently local party MOST, that appeared to have broken the duopoly of the two establishment center-left and center-right parties, the SDP and HDZ. MOST was founded in a small coastal Croatian city to compete in its local elections in 2013....

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