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Who Wins in 2020?

Who Wins in 2020? Posted on Sep 8, 2020

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The summer of lost hopes

The summer of lost hopes Posted on Jul 21, 2020

Recent From Election forecasting

Who Wins in 2020?

Who Wins in 2020? Posted on Sep 8, 2020
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Recent Posts

Who Wins in 2020?

  Back in 2016 we were a team of scientists that used a novel methodology to successfully predict Brexit and Trump, both within a single percentage point margin of error. It was a combination of our wisdom of crowds survey and a network analysis of friendship links on Facebook & Twitter (methodology described below). Four...

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The summer of lost hopes

Jul 21, 20 The summer of lost hopes

Posted by in Data visualization, Featured

At one moment there was hope that summertime will naturally suppress the spread of COVID-19. This hope is now gone and the uncertainty sets in. In the beginning of June, the COVID-19 trends in the US looked quite promising. The incidence rate (number of cases per 100,000 people) was about 10 or less, with the pandemic hotspots in...

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Slowdown from lockdown

May 09, 20 Slowdown from lockdown

Posted by in Featured

COVID-19’s path of death and analysis of Google mobility data As the economic and social fallout from the “lockdown” measures takes its toll across the world the public debate has been increasingly focusing on the rationality of such drastic measures. This debate is both highly relevant and highly emotional. The problem is that...

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COVID-19 Data Myopia

Apr 09, 20 COVID-19 Data Myopia

Posted by in Featured

People around the world are hooked on following daily updates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and their related deaths. Extracting various conclusions and projections is omnipresent these days. However, not enough attention is given to understanding what these numbers really mean and what we can learn from them, while at the same time...

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Visualization of the global spread of COVID-19

Feb 24, 20 Visualization of the global spread of COVID-19

Posted by in Data visualization, Featured

Interactive 3D visualization of geotagged time dependent data is among the tools that Oraclum Intelligence Systems develops of its visual analytics tasks. In this demo we use the data on the spread of coronavirus disease COVID-19, which contains both the geo location and the time stamp. The interactive graph shows the increase in...

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There is only one Democratic primary candidate that outperforms Trump on Twitter

Nov 08, 19 There is only one Democratic primary candidate that outperforms Trump on Twitter

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

Analysis of Twitter hashtags of candidates for US elections done by Prospectus Research in collaboration with Oraclum Intelligence Systems uncovered a host of interesting results. Judging solely by online activity over the past two weeks, only a single candidate in the Democratic primary race outperformed Trump on Twitter – Tulsi...

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Bias in approval ratings

Apr 09, 18 Bias in approval ratings

Posted by in #Election2016, Featured

This post is part of the Oraclum White Paper 09/2018, published on our website. Oraclum White Papers are analytical reports on Oraclum’s predictions and prediction methods. They are designed to be informative, provide an in-depth statistical analysis of a given issue, call for a proposal to action, or introduce a unique solution...

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