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Bias in approval ratings

Bias in approval ratings Posted on Apr 9, 2018

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Visualization of the global spread of CO...

Visualization of the global spread of COVID-19 Posted on Feb 24, 2020

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There is only one Democratic primary can...

There is only one Democratic primary candidate that outperforms Trump on Twitter Posted on Nov 8, 2019
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Recent Posts

Visualization of the global spread of COVID-19

Feb 24, 20 Visualization of the global spread of COVID-19

Posted by in Data visualization, Featured

Interactive 3D visualization of geotagged time dependent data is among the tools that Oraclum Intelligence Systems develops of its visual analytics tasks. In this demo we use the data on the spread of coronavirus COVID-19, which contains both the geo location and the time stamp. The interactive graph shows the increase in the...

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There is only one Democratic primary candidate that outperforms Trump on Twitter

Nov 08, 19 There is only one Democratic primary candidate that outperforms Trump on Twitter

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

Analysis of Twitter hashtags of candidates for US elections done by Prospectus Research in collaboration with Oraclum Intelligence Systems uncovered a host of interesting results. Judging solely by online activity over the past two weeks, only a single candidate in the Democratic primary race outperformed Trump on Twitter – Tulsi...

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Bias in approval ratings

Apr 09, 18 Bias in approval ratings

Posted by in #Election2016, Featured

This post is part of the Oraclum White Paper 09/2018, published on our website. Oraclum White Papers are analytical reports on Oraclum’s predictions and prediction methods. They are designed to be informative, provide an in-depth statistical analysis of a given issue, call for a proposal to action, or introduce a unique solution...

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UK 2017 GE results: resurgence of two-party politics

Jun 09, 17 UK 2017 GE results: resurgence of two-party politics

Posted by in Featured

The 2017 UK General Election produced another upset for election forecasters and most pollsters (kudos to YouGov for being the only big gun to predict a hung parliament with their new prediction model!). As we have surveyed in our previous text, a vast majority of the poll-based and model-based forecasters, just like with Brexit...

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UK general election poll tracker (NOT our prediction)

Jun 07, 17 UK general election poll tracker (NOT our prediction)

Posted by in Featured

We are NOT predicting the 2017 UK general election. Unfortunately. They came too soon given their specifics (one must do polling in a number of toss-up constituencies to make sure to deliver an accurate prediction). But we did keep track of what all other polls were saying. What seemed like a Conservative landslide only last month...

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Our NEW rankings of UK pollsters

Jun 04, 17 Our NEW rankings of UK pollsters

Posted by in Featured

Last year, before the Brexit referendum, we offered the first unbiased ranking of UK pollsters. This was our effort to vindicate some in the polling business during a time of widespread public anger over their failure to correctly predict the outcome of the 2015 UK general election (despite the fact that making predictions is not...

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France: post-election analysis

May 08, 17 France: post-election analysis

Posted by in Election forecasting, Featured

Once again, we have correctly predicted an outcome of a general election. As we said on Saturday: “The overall likelihood of a Le Pen victory is below 1%. Unless there is a huge Black Swan event on Sunday, Emmanuel Macron should be the next President of France.” Emmanuel Macron is indeed the next President of France. He won by a,...

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